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BLOG ARCHIVE: OCTOBER 1-15, 2008.

WEDNESDAY NEWS UPDATE.

McCAIN POLLSTER SAYS ECONOMY HELPED OBAMA; NRCC PULLS PLUG ON NON-INCUMBENTS; NEW POLL NUMBERS.

P2008. John McCain's own internal pollster Bill McInturff conceded to Marc Ambinder of The Atlantic that global economic meltdown in recent weeks has significantly eroded McCain's support. "The financial tsunami has produced one of the most difficult and volatile times to conduct polling in modern times. During these uniquely volatile last few weeks, I have seen as much day-to-day movement as I have witnessed in my 20 plus year career as a pollster," said McInturff.

CONGRESS. The NRCC is pulling the plug on national financial support for some of the GOP's most highly touted recruits -- including in Republicans in key open seat contests -- to divert funds to embattled House incumbents. According to The Politico, among those promising candidates who now find themselves without NRCC dollars include Darren White (R-NM) and Erik Paulsen (R-MN). Instead, NRCC is shifting its money to buy ads in support of various incumbents who now find themselves worried about surprisingly tight re-election races. The incumbents targeted to benefit from this money shift include John Shadegg (R-AZ), Dan Lungren (R-CA), Lee Terry (R-NE) and Henry Brown (R-SC). The article also reported that other House Republicans who now find themselves in unexpectedly competitive contests include Californians Dana Rohrabacher, Dave Dreier and Brian Bilbray. As of the end of August, the DCCC had $54 million cash-on-hand versus just $14.3 million in the NRCC bank account. The DCCC has already spent nearly $25 million on 47 races, including 30 seats currently held by Republicans. By contrast, the NRCC has spent under $2 million on just 13 seats -- and ten of those are districts the NRCC is defending. "In some of those districts, the mold has hardened," said retiring Congressman Tom Davis (R-VA), a former NRCC Chair.

P2008 - DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the latest independent state polls on the Presidential race:
COLORADO (Suffolk Univ.): Obama - 45%, McCain - 41%, Nader - 2%, Barr - 1%, McKinney - 0%.
COLORADO (Quinnipiac Univ.): Obama - 52%, McCain - 43%, Others - 1%.
MICHIGAN (Quinnipiac Univ.): Obama - 54%, McCain - 38%, Others - 1%.
MINNESOTA (Quinnipiac Univ.): Obama - 51%, McCain - 40%, Others - 2%.
MISSOURI (PPP-D): Obama - 48%, McCain - 46%.
NORTH CAROLINA (PPP-D): Obama - 49%, McCain - 46%, Barr - 1%.
OHIO (SurveyUSA): Obama - 50%, McCain - 45%, Others - 4%.
PENNSYLVANIA (SurveyUSA): Obama - 55%, McCain - 40%, Others - 4%.
PENNSYLVANIA (Muhlenberg College): Obama - 51%, McCain - 38%.
SOUTH CAROLINA (SurveyUSA): McCain - 55%, Obama - 41%, Others - 3%.
WISCONSIN (Quinnipiac Univ.): Obama - 54%, McCain - 37%, Others - 2%.

US SENATE. The latest independent polls for the US Senate match-ups:
COLORADO (Suffolk Univ.): Congressman Mark Udall (D) - 45%, former Congressman Bob Schaffer (R) - 34%, paralegal Doug Campbell (Const) - 3%, retired teacher Bob Kinsey (Green) - 1%.
COLORADO (Quinnipiac Univ.): Congressman Mark Udall (D) - 54%, former Congressman Bob Schaffer (R) - 40%, Others - 1%.
MINNESOTA (Quinnipiac Univ.): Humorist Al Franken (D) - 39%, US Senator Norm Coleman (R) - 37%, former US Senator Dean Barkley (IP) - 17%.
NORTH CAROLINA (PPP-D): State Senator Kay Hagan (D) - 46%, US Senator Elizabeth Dole (R) - 44%, postal worker Chris Cole (Libt) - 5%.
SOUTH CAROLINA (SurveyUSA): US Senator Lindsey Graham (R) - 56%, commercial pilot Bob Conley (D) - 40%.

GOVERNOR. The new independent polls for the gubernatorial contests:
MISSOURI (PPP-D): Attorney General Jay Nixon (D) - 52%, Congressman Kenny Hulshof (R) - 39%
NORTH DAKOTA (Minnesota State Univ.): Governor John Hoeven (R) - 73%, State Senator Tim Mathern (D) - 18%.

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301.

CONGRESS. Here are the latest independent polls for US House races.
NORTH DAKOTA (Minnesota State Univ.): Congressman Earl Pomeroy (D) - 60%, retired US Naval officer Duane Sand (R) - 28%.
PENNSYLVANIA CD-11 (Research 2000): Hazleton Mayor Lou Barletta (R) - 43%, Congressman Paul Kanjorski (D) - 39%.
Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 10.15.08 | Permalink |

TUESDAY NEWS UPDATE.

DOW POSTS RECORD REBOUND; CANADA VOTES; CONGRESSMAN MAHONEY SEX SCANDAL; NEW POLLS.

ECONOMY. News of a coordinated EU bailout of European banks pushed foreign markets sharply up on Monday, which in turn produced the largest single-day points gain in Wall Street history. The market shot up 936 points -- an 11.1% gain -- registering the best market percentage gain since 1932. The market is still far below the values it registered just a month ago, but the development was encouraging. On the heels of this gain, the Bush Administration will announce a plans to invest $250 billion in US banks -- in exchange for an equity interest -- a move intended to recapitalize the nation's foundering lending institutions. The coming days will tell if the gains of Monday were an anomaly or an end to the corrosive slide.

CANADA. Tuesday is election day in Canada. Prime Minister Stephen Harper (Conservative) called the snap election -- just before the global economic collapse -- in a strategic move to strengthen his minority government. Instead, polls in the closing days show the Tories have slipped and are likely to have a net loss in seats. Harper's main rival for PM is centrist Liberal Party leader Stephane Dion. Although the intellectual former Cabinet member Dion was initially seen as politically weak and a poor communicator in English, he has gained substantial ground in recent polls. Jack Layton -- leader of the democratic-socialist New Democrats -- looks likely to score the NDP's best finish ever. The regional Bloc Québécois may lose a few seats overall, and the Greens may capture their first seat in the federal parliament. If the Liberals and NDP can reach consensus after Tuesday, they will have the power to form a center-left coalition government and oust Harper. It remains to be seen, however, if any deal can be reached. If the two parties remain fractured, however, Harper may be able to hold onto a precarious and diminished minority government. [Ron's editorial endorsement -- not that any of my Canadian friends care -- is to vote NDP. But, in those ridings where only the Liberal candidate has a viable shot at defeating the Conservative candidate, then it's okay to vote Liberal.]

FLORIDA. Freshman Congressman Tim Mahoney (D) -- possibly the most-vulnerable House Democrat of this cycle -- is now embroiled in an embarrassing sex scandal that seems likely to derail his re-election bid. According to ABC News, Mahoney carried on an extra-marital affair with a campaign staffer beginning in 2006. He then placed the woman first on his congressional staff, then on his campaign re-election staff. When the woman learned Mahoney was apparently sleeping with other women while also continuing the relationship with her, she threatened to sue the congressman. In response, Mahoney agreed to a $121,000 payment to his former mistress in exchange for her dropping the matter. While Mahoney has avoided the lawsuit, the timing of the revelations could not have been worse. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D) immediately called for a House Ethics Committee investigation of the matter. The district is reliably Republican, and Mahoney only won in a fluke two years ago when incumbent Congressman Mark Foley (R) was ensnared in a gay sex scandal involving teenage congressional pages just weeks before the election. Change this race rating from toss-up to Leans GOP. Wealthy attorney Tom Rooney is the GOP nominee against Mahoney.

P2008 - DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the latest independent state polls on the Presidential race:
FLORIDA (Fox News/Rasmussen): Obama - 51%, McCain - 46%, Barr - 1%.
GEORGIA (SurveyUSA): McCain - 51%, Obama - 43%, Others - 4%.
MISSOURI (Fox News/Rasmussen): Obama - 50%, McCain - 47%.
MISSOURI (SurveyUSA): Obama - 51%, McCain - 43%, Other - 4%.
NEW JERSEY (SurveyUSA): Obama - 55%, McCain - 40%.
NEW YORK (SurveyUSA): Obama - 64%, McCain - 31%.
NORTH CAROLINA (Fox News/Rasmussen): Obama - 48%, McCain - 48%, Barr - 1%.
OHIO (Fox News/Rasmussen): Obama - 49%, McCain - 47%.
OHIO (Marist College): Obama - 48%, McCain - 40%, Others - 1%.
OREGON (SurveyUSA): Obama - 57%, McCain - 40%.
PENNSYLVANIA (Muhlenberg College): Obama - 51%, McCain - 38%.
PENNSYLVANIA (Marist College): Obama - 53%, McCain - 41%, Others - 1%.
VIRGINIA (Fox News/Rasmussen): Obama - 50%, McCain - 47%.

US SENATE. The latest independent polls for the US Senate match-ups:
GEORGIA (SurveyUSA): US Senator Saxby Chambliss (R) - 46%, former State Rep. Jim Martin (D) - 43%, attorney Allen Buckley (Libt) - 6%.
NEW JERSEY (SurveyUSA): US Senator Frank Lautenberg (D) - 51%, former Congressman Dick Zimmer (R) - 38%, Others - 8%.
OREGON (SurveyUSA): State House Speaker Jeff Merkley (D) - 46%, US Senator Gordon Smith (R) - 41%, salesman Dave Brownlow (Const) - 7%.

GOVERNOR. The new independent polls for the gubernatorial contests:
MISSOURI (SurveyUSA): Attorney General Jay Nixon (D) - 56%, Congressman Kenny Hulshof (R) - 34%, software engineer Andy Finkenstadt (L) - 4%, former school district superintendent Greg Thompson (Const) - 2%.

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301.

CONGRESS. Here are the latest independent polls for US House races.
PENNSYLVANIA CD-3 (Research 2000): Arboretum director Kathy Dahlkemper (D) - 48%, Congressman Phil English (R) - 41%, Others - 2%.
Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 10.14.08 | Permalink |

MONDAY NEWS UPDATE.

JUST POLLS TODAY ... LOTS AND LOTS OF POLLS.

P2008 - DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the latest independent state polls on the Presidential race:
ALABAMA (SurveyUSA): McCain - 62%, Obama - 35%.
CALIFORNIA (Rasmussen): Obama - 56%, McCain - 40%.
COLORADO (PPP-D): Obama - 52%, McCain - 42%.
DELAWARE (West Chester Univ.): Obama - 56%, McCain - 38%.
FLORIDA (Research 2000): Obama - 49%, McCain - 44%.
FLORIDA (Strategic Vision-R): Obama - 52%, McCain - 44%, Others - 1%.
GEORGIA (Insider Advantage): McCain - 49%, Obama - 46%, Others - 2%.
IOWA (SurveyUSA): Obama - 54%, McCain - 41%.
NEVADA (Mason-Dixon): Obama - 47%, McCain - 45%.
NORTH CAROLINA (WSOC-TV): McCain - 48%, Obama - 46%.
OHIO (Insider Advantage): Obama - 49%, McCain - 44%, Others - 1%.
OHIO (Univ. of Cincinnati): McCain - 48%, Obama - 46%.
OHIO (Strategic Vision-R): Obama - 48%, McCain - 46%, Others - 2%.
OREGON (Rasmussen): Obama - 54%, McCain - 43%.
PENNSYLVANIA (Muhlenberg College): Obama - 51%, McCain - 39%, Others - 3%.
WISCONSIN (Research 2000): Obama - 51%, McCain - 41%.

US SENATE. The latest independent polls for the US Senate match-ups:
ALABAMA (SurveyUSA): US Senator Jeff Sessions (R) - 64%, State Senator Vivian Davis Figures (D) - 33%.
ALASKA (Anchorage Press/Ivan Moore): Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (D) - 49%, US Senator Ted Stevens (R) - 45%.
DELAWARE (West Chester Univ.): US Senator Joe Biden (D) - 65%, political consultant Christine O'Donnell (R) - 29%.
GEORGIA (Insider Advantage): US Senator Saxby Chambliss (R) - 45%, former State Rep. Jim Martin (D) - 45%, attorney Allen Buckley (Libt) -2%.
IOWA (SurveyUSA): US Senator Tom Harkin (D) - 58%, businessman Chris Reed (R) - 37%.
MICHIGAN (Rasmussen): US Senator Carl Levin (D) - 61%, State Rep. Jack Hoogendyk (R) - 36%.

NORTH CAROLINA (WSOC-TV): State Senator Kay Hagan (D) - 44%, US Senator Elizabeth Dole (R) - 43%, Others - 4%.
NORTH CAROLINA (Rasmussen): State Senator Kay Hagan (D) - 49%, US Senator Elizabeth Dole (R) - 44%.
NORTH CAROLINA (Civitas-R): State Senator Kay Hagan (D) - 45%, US Senator Elizabeth Dole (R) - 42%.

GOVERNOR. The new independent polls for the gubernatorial contests:
DELAWARE (West Chester Univ.): State Treasurer Jack Markell (D) -
61%, retired Superior Court Judge Bill Lee (R) - 30%.
NORTH CAROLINA (Civitas-R): Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory (R) - 43%, Lieutenant Governor Bev Perdue (D) - 41%, college professor Mike Munger (Libt) - 2%.
NORTH CAROLINA (WSOC-TV): Lieutenant Governor Bev Perdue (D) - 46%, Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory (R) - 43%, college professor Mike Munger (Libt) - 3%

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301.

CONGRESS. Here are the latest independent polls for US House races.
ARIZONA CD- (Research 2000): Congressman Steve Shadegg (R) - 48%, attorney Bob Lord (D) - 39%.
NEBRASKA CD-2 (Research 2000): Congressman Lee Terry (R) - 49%, businessman Jim Esch (D) - 39%, Others - 2%.
NEW YORK CD-29 (Research 2000): Retired US Naval officer Eric Massa (D) - 49%, Congressman Randy Kuhl (R) - 42%.
TEXAS CD-7 (Research 2000): Congressman John Culberson (R) - 47%, businessman Michael Skelly (D) - 40%.
VIRGINIA CD-2 (Research 2000): Congresswoman Thelma Drake (R) - 51%, former US diplomat Glenn Nye (D) - 37%
WASHINGTON CD-8 (Research 2000): Congressman Dave Reichert (R) - 49%, businesswoman Darcy Burner (D) - 41%.
WEST VIRGINIA CD-2 (Research 2000): Congresswoman Shelley Moore Capito (R) - 53%, congressional aide Anne Barth (D) - 39%
.
Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 10.13.08 | Permalink |

WEEKEND NEWS UPDATE.

PALIN VIOLATED LAW IN TROOPERGATE, SAID BIPARTISAN ALASKA LEG PANEL.

TROOPERGATE. A bipartisan panel in the Alaska Legislature released its investigative report Friday evening. The result: By a unanimous vote, the legislators found that Governor Sarah Palin abused her power as Governor and violated state ethics laws when she fired the State Public Safety Commissioner after he refused to fire Palin's former brother-in-law from his job as a state trooper. The trooper had formerly been married to Todd Palin's sister, and the had recently gone through a bitter divorce fight. "Gov. Palin knowingly permitted a situation to continue where impermissible pressure was placed on several [state police] subordinates in order to advance a personal agenda," the report stated. The McCain campaign denounced the report as politically motivated by Palin foes, saying the report was timed to help the Obama campaign. You can read the report here and decide for yourself..

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301. Today's thanks go out to:
Georgetown Public Policy Institute Dean and former congressional aide Judy Feder (D-Virginia) - Candidate for Congress in CD-10.

Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 10.11.08 | Permalink |

FRIDAY NEWS UPDATE.

MARKET CRASH WORSENS, McCAIN CAMP DENOUNCES PAULSON PLAN TO RECAPITALIZE BANKS; AYERS SPOT DOESN'T AIR; PLUS LOTS OF NEW POLLS.

WALL STREET. In the face of the latest dismal day on global markets -- with Wall Street dropping 679 points and hitting a five-year low -- the Bush Administration indicated it was inching towards recapitalizing beleaguered US banks by purchasing equity interests. Based upon the past seven trading days, the Dow Jones has already lost 20% in total value. In response to the recapitalization news, John McCain's chief policy advisor Douglas Holtz-Eakin sharply denounced it. "It's not the way things should be done in the United States and that's very disturbing if that's the route they intend to take," Holtz-Eakin told NPR. Obama policy advisor Austan Goolsbee responded that the recently adopted bailout legislation -- which was supported by McCain -- granted to the White House the authority to nationalize banks through equity purchases. "It is ... almost exactly what the government did with AIG -- they gave them money and took equity -- and John McCain supported that action," said Goolsbee. In another related news, The Atlantic's Marc Ambinder reported that the McCain did not actually purchase any television airtime to run the attack TV spot focusing on Obama's ties with former 1960s Weather Underground terror group member Bill Ayers. The McCain campaign claimed this morning it was planning to go on the offensive today with the Ayers spot. The Obama campaign, by contrast, purchased a 30-minute block of TV time on CBS on the evening of October 29. The Obama campaign is also trying to buy 30-minute blocks of time on the same evening on ABC, NBC and FOX.

P2008 - DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the latest independent state polls on the Presidential race:
FLORIDA (Rasmussen): Obama - 50%, McCain - 47%.
GEORGIA (Rasmussen): McCain - 54%, Obama - 45%.
GEORGIA (Strategic Vision-R): McCain - 50%, Obama - 43%, Barr - 2%..
INDIANA (Rasmussen): McCain - 50%, Obama - 43%.
MICHIGAN (Rasmussen): Obama - 56%, McCain - 40%.
MINNESOTA (Rasmussen): Obama - 52%, McCain - 45%.
MINNESOTA (ARG): Obama - 47%, McCain - 46%.
MISSOURI (ARG): McCain - 49%, Obama - 46%.
MONTANA (ARG): McCain - 50%, Obama - 45%.
NEW HAMPSHIRE (ARG): Obama - 52%, McCain - 43%.
NEW JERSEY (Fairleigh Dickinson Univ.): Obama - 50%, McCain - 37%, Others - 3%.
NEW JERSEY (Rasmussen): Obama - 50%, McCain - 42%.
NORTH CAROLINA (Civitas-R): Obama - 48%, McCain - 43%, Barr - 1%.
NORTH CAROLINA (Rasmussen): Obama - 49%, McCain - 48%.
OHIO (ARG): Obama - 48%, McCain - 45%.
PENNSYLVANIA (Strategic Vision-R): Obama - 54%, McCain - 40%.
PENNSYLVANIA (Muhlenberg College): Obama - 50%, McCain - 38%, Others - 3%.
TEXAS (ARG): McCain - 57%, Obama - 38%.
VIRGINIA (PPP-D): Obama - 51%, McCain - 43%.
WEST VIRGINIA (ARG): Obama - 50%, McCain - 42%.
WISCONSIN (Rasmussen): Obama - 54%, McCain - 44%.

US SENATE. The latest independent polls for the US Senate match-ups:
GEORGIA (Rasmussen): US Senator Saxby Chambliss (R) - 50%, former State Rep. Jim Martin (D) - 44%.

GEORGIA (Strategic Vision-R): US Senator Saxby Chambliss (R) - 47%, former State Rep. Jim Martin (D) - 44%, attorney Allen Buckley (Libt) - 4%.
MINNESOTA (Rasmussen): Humorist Al Franken (D) - 43%, US Senator Norm Coleman (R) - 37%, former US Senator Dean Barkley (IP) - 17%.
MINNESOTA (Univ. of Minnesota): Humorist Al Franken (D) - 41%, US Senator Norm Coleman (R) - 37%, former US Senator Dean Barkley (IP) - 14%.
NEW HAMPSHIRE (ARG): Former Governor Jeanne Shaheen (D) - 51%, US Senator John Sununu (R) - 42%.
NEW JERSEY (Rasmussen): US Senator Frank Lautenberg (D) - 51%, former Congressman Dick Zimmer (R) - 37%.
NEW JERSEY (Fairleigh Dickinson Univ.): US Senator Frank Lautenberg (D) - 50%, former Congressman Dick Zimmer (R) - 34%, Others - 2%.
VIRGINIA (PPP-D): Former Governor Mark Warner (D) - 58%, former Governor Jim Gilmore (R) - 31%.

GOVERNOR. The new independent polls for the gubernatorial contests:
INDIANA (Research 2000): Governor Mitch Daniels (R) - 49%, former Congresswoman Jill Long Thompson (D) - 45%
.
NEW HAMPSHIRE (ARG): Governor John Lynch (D) - 65%, (R) - State Senator Joe Kenney (R) - 26%.

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301.

CONGRESS. Here are the latest independent polls for US House races.
FLORIDA CD-18 (Univision): Congresswoman Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R) - 52%, businesswoman Annette Taddeo (D) - 27%.
MINNESOTA CD-3 (SurveyUSA): Iraq War veteran Ashwin Madia (D) - 46%, State Rep. Erik Paulsen (R) - 43%, businessman David Dillon (IP) - 8%.
PENNSYLVANIA CD-10 (Franklin & Marshall College): Congressman Chris Carney (D) - 48%, businessman Chris Hackett (R) - 33%.
VIRGINIA CD-5 (SurveyUSA): Congressman Virgil Goode (R) - 55%, international non-profit group organizer Tom Perriello (D) - 42%.
Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 10.10.08 | Permalink |

THURSDAY NEWS UPDATE.

YOM KIPPUR OPEN THREAD.

FREE SPEECH ZONE. Due to the Jewish holidays, I unable to post a news update this evening ... so I'll leave it up to all of you to debate the latest in the Prez race and the 200-point market drop in the face of the coordinated international rate cut to halt the slide.

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301.
Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory (R-North Carolina) - Candidate for Governor.

Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 10.09.08 | Permalink |

WEDNESDAY NEWS UPDATE.

MARKETS CONTINUE TO TUMBLE; McCAIN-OBAMA DEBATE TAME, DULL; STATE POLLS SHOW OBAMA SURGING; NEW POLLS BAD NEWS FOR HOUSE REPUBLICANS.

P2008. Wall Street recorded another 500+ point crash on Tuesday, bringing the Dow to the lowest close in over five years. International markets were also in crisis on Tuesday, in response to the ongoing economic fears. Hours after the trading for the day ended, John McCain and Barack Obama met for their second debate. This encounter was purportedly a town hall format -- albeit so moderated and controlled as to render the concept a joke. The town hall format is McCain's favored debate style, but the agreed format restrictions so neutered the tone of the "debate." Both men directly engaged, but in a rather tame manner. Those conservatives who wanted McCain to come out punching in a effort to revive his faltering campaign, however, were left disappointed. Instead, the forum was merely another joint appearance unlikely to significantly change the current trajectory of the race.

P2008 - DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the latest independent state polls on the Presidential race:
CALIFORNIA (SurveyUSA): Obama - 55%, McCain - 39%, Others - 4%.
COLORADO (Insider Advantage): Obama - 51%, McCain - 45%, Others - 1%.
FLORIDA (Mason-Dixon): Obama - 48%, McCain - 46%, Others - 1%.
INDIANA (Research 2000): McCain - 46%, Obama - 46%, Others - 3%.
INDIANA (CNN/Time): McCain - 51%, Obama - 46%, Others - 3%.
MINNESOTA (Univ. of Minnesota): Obama - 54%, McCain - 40%, Others - 2%.
NEVADA (Research 2000): Obama - 50%, McCain - 43%, Others - 3%.
NEVADA (Insider Advantage): Obama - 49%, McCain - 47%, Others - 1%.
NEW HAMPSHIRE (CNN/Time): Obama - 53%, McCain - 45%.
NORTH CAROLINA (SurveyUSA): McCain - 49%, Obama - 46%, Others - 3%.
NORTH CAROLINA (CNN/Time): McCain - 49%, Obama - 49%.
OHIO (CNN/Time): Obama - 50%, McCain - 47%.
OHIO (PPP-D): Obama - 49%, McCain - 43%.
PENNSYLVANIA (Rasmussen): Obama - 54%, McCain - 41%.
PENNSYLVANIA (Muhlenberg College): Obama - 48%, McCain - 38%, Others - 3%.
PENNSYLVANIA (SurveyUSA): Obama - 55%, McCain - 40%, Others - 3%.
WISCONSIN (SurveyUSA): Obama - 52%, McCain - 42%, Others - 3%.
WISCONSIN (CNN/Time): Obama - 51%, McCain - 46%.

US SENATE. The latest independent polls for the US Senate match-ups:
ALASKA (Anchorage Press/Ivan Moore): Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (D) - 48%, US Senator Ted Stevens (R) - 46%.
ALASKA (Rasmussen): US Senator Ted Stevens (R) - 49%, Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (D) - 48%.
NORTH CAROLINA (SurveyUSA): US Senator Elizabeth Dole (R) - 44%, State Senator Kay Hagan (D) - 43%, postal worker Chris Cole (Libt) - 7%.

GOVERNOR. The new independent polls for the gubernatorial contests:
NORTH CAROLINA (SurveyUSA): Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory (R) - 46%
, Lieutenant Governor Bev Perdue (D) - 45%.
NORTH CAROLINA (PPP-D): Lieutenant Governor Bev Perdue (D) - 46%, Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory (R) - 43%.

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301.
Pastor, artist and temperance activist Gene Amondson (Prohibition-Washington) - Candidate for President.

CONGRESS. Here are the latest independent polls for US House races.
ALASKA (Anchorage Press/Ivan Moore): Former State House Minority Leader Ethan Berkowitz (D) - 49%, Congressman Don Young (R) - 44%.
FLORIDA CD-18 (Telemundo): Congresswoman Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R) - 48%, businesswoman Annette Taddeo (D) - 35%.
FLORIDA CD-21 (Telemundo): Congressman Lincoln Diaz-Balart (R) - 48%, former Hialeah Mayor Raul Martinez (D) - 43%.
FLORIDA CD-25 (Telemundo): Congressman Mario Diaz-Balart (R) - 43%, former Miami-Dade County Democratic Chair Joe Garcia (D) - 41%.
ILLINOIS CD-10 (SurveyUSA): Marketing executive Dan Seals (D) - 52%, Congressman Mark Kirk (R) - 44%.
INDIANA CD-10 (SurveyUSA): Congressman Baron Hill (D) - 53%, former Congressman Mike Sodrel (R) - 38%, economist Eric Schansberg (Libt) - 7%.
NEW HAMPSHIRE CD-1 (SurveyUSA): Congresswoman Carol Shea-Porter (D) - 50%, former Congressman Jeb Bradley (R) - 41%, businessman Bob Kingsbury (Libt) - 3%, economist Peter Bearse (I) - 3%.
NEW YORK CD-29 (SurveyUSA): Eric Massa (D) - 51%, Congressman Randy Kuhl (R) - 44%.
NORTH CAROLINA CD-8 (SurveyUSA): Teacher Larry Kissell (D) - 49%, Congressman Robin Hayes (R) - 41%, electrician Thomas Hill (Libt) - 6%.
OHIO CD-1 (Research 2000): State House Minority Whip Steve Driehaus (D) - 46%, Congressman Steve Chabot (R) - 44%, Others - 4%.
OHIO CD-16 (Research 2000): State Senator John Boccieri (D) - 48%, State Senator Kirk Schuring (R) - 38%, Others - 4%.
PENNSYLVANIA CD-4 (SurveyUSA): Congressman Jason Altmire (D) - 54%, former Congresswoman Melissa Hart (R) - 42%.
WISCONSIN CD-8 (SurveyUSA): Congressman Steve Kagen (D) - 54%, former State Assembly Speaker John Gard (R) - 43%.
Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 10.08.08 | Permalink |

TUESDAY NEWS UPDATE.

WALL STREET, GLOBAL MARKETS CRASH AGAIN; McCAIN TRIES TO CHANGE FOCUS; DEMS GAIN IN GA, NH, NC SENATE RACE POLLS.

P2008. On the same day that the New York Daily News quoted a top John McCain advisor as saying "If we keep talking about the economic crisis, we're going to lose," Wall Street tanked yet again. The 370 point market drop mirrored the market crashed in the Asian and European markets on Monday. The simultaneous market crashes illustrate the global connectivity between the foreign and US economies. With a new poll showing roughly 60% of all Americans feared we possibly on the brink of another Great Depression, McCain will likely prove unable to divert attention away from the economy. However, in an attempt to do so, both McCain and runningmate Sarah Palin spent Monday referring to Barack Obama's relationships with "questionable" people like college professor Bill Ayers. Ayers was a once member of the leftist Weather Underground urban guerrilla warfare group in the early 1970s, before renouncing his violent past. Palin also suggested that Obama's former pastor, Jeremiah Wright, should also be a topic for public discussion. In response, Obama campaign denounced the "guilt-by-association" attacks as McCain "gambling that he can distract you with smears rather than talk to you about substance." The two men meet for the second Presidential debate on Tuesday evening.

P2008 - DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the latest independent state polls on the Presidential race:
COLORADO (Fox News/Rasmussen): Obama - 51%, McCain - 45%.
FLORIDA (Fox News/Rasmussen): Obama - 52%, McCain - 45%.
GEORGIA (Research 2000): McCain - 50%, Obama - 43%, Others - 3%.
MISSOURI (Fox News/Rasmussen): Obama - 50%, McCain - 47%.
NEW HAMPSHIRE (SurveyUSA): Obama - 53%, McCain - 40%, Others - 5%.
NEW MEXICO (Albuquerque Journal): Obama - 45%, McCain - 40%, Nader - 1%.
NORTH CAROLINA (PPP-D): Obama - 50%, McCain - 44%, Barr - 2%.
OHIO (Fox News/Rasmussen): McCain - 48%, Obama - 47%.
OHIO (ABC News/Washington Post): Obama - 51%, McCain - 45%.
PENNSYLVANIA (Muhlenberg College): Obama - 49%, McCain - 38%, Others - 3%.
VIRGINIA (Fox News/Rasmussen): Obama - 50%, McCain - 48%.
VIRGINIA (SurveyUSA): Obama - 53%, McCain - 43%, Others - 3%.
VIRGINIA (Suffolk Univ.): Obama - 51%, McCain - 39%, Others - 1%.

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301.

US SENATE. The latest independent polls for the US Senate match-ups:
GEORGIA (Research 2000): US Senator Saxby Chambliss (R) - 45%, former State Representative Jim Martin (D) - 44%, Others - 4%.

MAINE (Rasmussen): US Senator Susan Collins (R) - 53%, Congressman Tom Allen (D) - 43%.

NEW HAMPSHIRE (SurveyUSA): Former Governor Jeanne Shaheen (D) - 48%, US Senator John Sununu (R) - 40%, realtor Ken Blevens (Libt) - 7%.
NORTH CAROLINA (PPP-D): State Senator Kay Hagan (D) - 49%, US Senator Elizabeth Dole (R) - 40%, postal worker Chris Cole (Libt) - 5%.
VIRGINIA (SurveyUSA): Former Governor Mark Warner (D) - 61%, former Governor Jim Gilmore (R) - 39%, businesswoman Gail Parker (Ind Green) - 3%, Libertarian National Chairman Bill Redpath (Libt) - 3%.
VIRGINIA (Suffolk Univ.): Former Governor Mark Warner (D) - 57%, former Governor Jim Gilmore (R) - 25%, businesswoman Gail Parker (Ind Green) - 1%, Libertarian National Chairman Bill Redpath (Libt) - 0%
.
Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 10.07.08 | Permalink |

MONDAY NEWS UPDATE.

CONGRESSMAN JEFFERSON FORCED INTO LOUISIANA RUNOFF; ORDER ABSENTEE BALLOTS ONLINE; CO, MN & NH SEN POLLS; PLUS 4 CONGRESSIONAL RACE POLLS.

LOUISIANA. Congressman Bill Jefferson (D) -- under indictment on federal corruption charges and not supported for renomination by the Louisiana Democratic Party -- limped into first-place in Saturday's CD-2 primary with just 25% of the vote. Six Democratic rivals split the anti-Jefferson vote. Jefferson will face a competitive November 4 primary run-off against former local TV news reporter Helena Moreno, the white candidate in the primary. Moreno finished second with 20%, followed by State Representative Cedric Richmond in third place with 17%. As CD-2 is majority African-American, Moreno may face racial obstacles in runoff -- even though 75% of primary voters cast ballots against Jefferson. In the open CD-4 seat being vacated by retiring Congressman Jim McCrery (R), both major parties will see their contests advance to runoff elections. On the GOP side, former Webster Parish Coroner John Fleming narrowly edged trucking executive Chris Gorman by a vote of 35% to 34%. McCrery's endorsed successor -- attorney Jeff Thompson -- was third with 31%. On the Dem side, Caddo District Attorney Paul Carmouche was first in the four-way primary with 48%, but fell short of the majority mark that had been expected. Retired Army officer Willie Banks, who captured 22%, will face Carmouche in the November runoff.

P2008 - DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the latest independent state polls on the Presidential race:
COLORADO (Denver Post/Mason-Dixon): Obama - 44%, McCain - 44%, Others - 4%.
MINNESOTA (Minneapolis Star-Tribune): Obama - 55%, McCain - 37%.
OHIO (Columbus Dispatch): Obama - 49%, McCain - 42%, Others - 1%.
PENNSYLVANIA (Muhlenberg College): Obama - 50%, McCain - 40%.
And, speaking of the White House race, you can order your absentee ballot through this website -- BeAbsentee.org -- no matter where you are registered to vote in the US.

US SENATE. The latest independent polls for the US Senate match-ups:
COLORADO (Denver Post/Mason-Dixon): Congressman Mark Udall (D) - 43%, former Congressman Bob Schaffer (R) - 38%.

MINNESOTA (Minneapolis Star-Tribune): Humorist Al Franken (D) - 43%, US Senator Norm Coleman (R) - 34%, former US Senator Dean Barkley (IP) - 18%.
NEW HAMPSHIRE (Rasmussen): Former Governor Jeanne Shaheen (D) - 50%, US Senator John Sununu (R) - 45%.

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301.

CONGRESS. Here are the latest independent polls for US House races.
ILLINOIS CD-10 (Research 2000): Congressman Mark Kirk (R) - 44%, marketing executive Dan Seals (D) - 38%.
NEW JERSEY CD-7 (Monmouth Univ.): State Senator Leonard Lance (R) - 43%, State Assemblywoman Linda Stender (D) - 39%, Bridgewater Township Councilman Michael Hsing (I) - 2%.
NEW MEXICO CD-2 (Research 2000): Former Lea County Commissioner Harry Teague (D) - 47%, restaurant chain owner Ed Tinsley (R) - 43%.
OHIO CD-2 (Research 2000): Congresswoman Jean Schmidt (R) - 46%, physician Victoria Wulsin (D) - 39%, Others - 7%.
Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 10.06.08 | Permalink |

WEEKEND NEWS UPDATE.

VEEP DEBATE REDUX; HOUSE PASSES WALL STREET BAILOUT PLAN (NOW WITH PORK!); PLUS LOTS OF POLLS.

VEEP DEBATE. Both sides spent Friday claiming victory in Thursday night's Joe Biden-Sarah Palin debate. In reality, it was a win for both. In the case of Palin, she far exceeded the low expectations and registered a charismatic performance -- albeit heavy on memorized soundbites and light on details. As for Biden, he clearly dominated the stage when it came to breadth of knowledge and focus -- but he was rather stiff, especially during the earlier portions of the debate. If anything, both runningmates easily exceeded the performances last week by their respective top-of-ticket partners. Independent polling seems to show undecided and independent voters watching the debate generally preferred Biden over Palin.

WALL STREET BAILOUT. Following the US Senate's lead, the House approved the White House's $700 billion Wall Street bailout plan. The price tag, however, is now much closer to $1 trillion, as the Senate version was loaded with an assortment of costly pork spending projects which were intended -- apparently successfully -- to persuade enough House members to switch their "no" votes from Monday into "yes" votes on Friday. The end result: 58 members switched their votes to support the bill. The final tally: 263-171. Within an hour of passage, President Bush hastily signed the bailout legislation into law. [Editor's note: Count me among those that would have still voted against it as the revised bill (1) lacked the mortgage restructing authority for federal bankruptcy judges needed to protect Main Street homeowners, and (2) lacked a true voting equity share for taxpayers in the institutions seeking bailout protection.]

P2008 - DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the latest independent state polls on the Presidential race:
GEORGIA (Insider Advantage): McCain - 50%, Obama - 44%.
MICHIGAN (Strategic Vision-R): Obama - 48%, McCain - 45%, Others - 2%.
MICHIGAN (PPP-D): Obama - 51%, McCain - 41%.
MINNESOTA (CNN/Time): Obama - 54%, McCain - 43%.
MONTANA (Rasmussen): McCain - 52%, Obama - 44%.
NEVADA (Rasmussen): Obama - 51%, McCain - 47%.
NEW HAMPSHIRE (St. Anselm College): Obama - 49%, McCain - 37%.
NEW HAMPSHIRE (Rasmussen): Obama - 53%, McCain - 43%.
NEW MEXICO (Rasmussen): Obama - 49%, McCain - 44%.
NEW MEXICO (SurveyUSA): Obama - 52%, McCain - 44%, Others - 2%.
NORTH CAROLINA (Rasmussen): Obama - 50%, McCain - 47%.
PENNSYLVANIA (Muhlenberg College): Obama - 47%, McCain - 43%, Others - 2%.
VIRGINIA (Mason-Dixon): McCain - 48%, Obama - 45%.
WASHINGTON (Rasmussen): Obama - 53%, McCain - 43%.

US SENATE. The latest independent polls for the US Senate match-ups:
COLORADO (Ciruli): Congressman Mark Udall (D) - 45%, former Congressman Bob Schaffer (R) - 38%.
KENTUCKY (Rasmussen): US Senator Mitch McConnell (R) - 51%, businessman Bruce Lunsford (D) - 42%.
MICHIGAN (PPP-D): US Senator Carl Levin (D) - 50%, State Rep. Jack Hoogendyk (R) - 32%.

MICHIGAN (Strategic Vision-R): US Senator Carl Levin (D) - 57%, State Rep. Jack Hoogendyk (R) - 29%.

MINNESOTA (Rasmussen): US Senator Norm Coleman (R) - 43%, humorist Al Franken (D) - 33%, former US Senator Dean Barkley (IP) - 19%.
NEBRASKA (Rasmussen): Former Governor Mike Johanns (R) - 52%, rancher Scott Kleeb (D) - 38%.
NEW MEXICO (SurveyUSA): Congressman Tom Udall (D) - 58%, Congressman Steve Pearce (R) - 39%.
NEW MEXICO (Rasmussen): Congressman Tom Udall (D) - 55%, Congressman Steve Pearce (R) - 41%.
VIRGINIA (Rasmussen): Former Governor Mark Warner (D) - 57%, former Governor Jim Gilmore (R) - 31%.

GOVERNOR. The new independent polls for the gubernatorial contests:
MONTANA (Rasmussen): Governor Brian Schweitzer (D) - 56%, State Senator Roy Brown (R) - 41%
.
NORTH CAROLINA (Rasmussen): Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory (R) - 50%
, Lieutenant Governor Bev Perdue (D) - 46%.
WASHINGTON (Rasmussen): Governor Christine Gregoire (D) - 48%, former State Senator Dino Rossi (R) - 48%.

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301. Today's thanks go out to:
Pastor and conservative activist Chuck Baldwin (Constitution-Florida) - Candidate for President.
State Party Vice Chair and sales engineer Dave Brownlow (Constitution-Oregon) - Candidate for US Senate.
Sales representative Doug Patterson (Constitution-Oregon) - Candidate for Congress in CD-5
.

CONGRESS. Here are the latest independent polls for US House races.
FLORIDA CD-13 (SurveyUSA): Congressman Vern Buchanan (R) - 49%, banker Christine Jennings (D) - 33%, attorney Jan Schneider (I) - 9%, alarm contractor Don Baldauf (I) - 3%.
KENTUCKY CD-4 (SurveyUSA): Congressman Geoff Davis (R) - 58%
, physician Michael Kelley (D) - 36%.
Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 10.04.08 | Permalink |

FRIDAY NEWS UPDATE.

VEEP DEBATE ... GIVE US YOUR REACTIONS.

BIDEN-PALIN DEBATE. Joe Biden and Sarah Palin met in Missouri on Thursday night for the first and only Vice Presidential debate of the campaign. Who won? Well ... I'm posting this in lieu of writing a news posting/analysis so that I, too, can watch it all. Other related big news: John McCain pulled out of Michigan, canceling his TV ad buys and other campaign spending in the state.

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301. Today's thanks go out to:
Congressman Jim Oberstar (D-Minnesota) - Candidate for re-election in CD-8.
State OTB worker and former labor organizer Jeff Stark (D-New York) - Candidate for State Assembly in AD-10 (note: if you know a website for Jeff, let me know).
Congressman David Obey (D-Wisconsin) - Candidate for re-election in CD-7
.
Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 10.03.08 | Permalink |

THURSDAY NEWS UPDATE.

SENATE TRIES "CHRISTMAS TREE" VERSION OF BAILOUT BILL; KEY SWING STATES SHIFTING TO OBAMA; MS, TX SENATE RACES TIGHTEN.

WALL STREET BAILOUT. Barack Obama, John McCain and Joe Biden all returned to the Senate on Wednesday afternoon to cast votes in support of the Senate's version of the $700 billion Wall Street bailout plan. Actually, the price tag will be considerably higher if the Senate version is signed into law as a bipartisan coalition of Senators loaded up the bill with a variety of pork funding projects in an attempt to by support of House opponents. The House plans to hold another vote on Friday, but passage remains uncertain. FYI: Billionaire financier George Soros is creatively suggesting an entirely different recovery plan for Congress to consider.

P2008 - DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the latest independent state polls on the Presidential race:
FLORIDA (CNN/Time): Obama - 51%, McCain - 47%.
FLORIDA (Insider Advantage): Obama - 49%, McCain - 46%, Others - 1%.
FLORIDA (Quinnipiac Univ.): Obama - 51%, McCain - 43%, Others - 1%.
FLORIDA (Suffolk Univ.): Obama - 46%, McCain - 42%, Barr - 2%, McKinney - 1%, Nader - 1%.
INDIANA (Research 2000): McCain - 46%, Obama - 45%.
IOWA (Research 2000): Obama - 55%, McCain - 39%.
MINNESOTA (CNN/Time): Obama - 54%, McCain - 43%.
MISSISSIPPI (Rasmussen): McCain - 52%, Obama - 44%.
MISSOURI (CNN/Time): Obama - 49%, McCain - 48%.
NEVADA (Insider Advantage): Obama - 48%, McCain - 47%, Others - 1%.
NEVADA (CNN/Time): Obama - 51%, McCain - 47%.
NEW JERSEY (SurveyUSA): Obama - 52%, McCain - 42%, Others - 3%.
OHIO (SurveyUSA): McCain - 49%, Obama - 48%, Others - 1%.
OHIO (Quinnipiac Univ.): Obama - 50%, McCain - 42%, Others - 1%.
OKLAHOMA (SurveyUSA): McCain - 64%, Obama - 34%, Others - 1%.
PENNSYLVANIA (Franklin & Marshall College): Obama - 45%, McCain - 38%, Others - 2%.
PENNSYLVANIA (Quinnipiac Univ.): Obama - 54%, McCain - 39%, Others - 1%.
PENNSYLVANIA (Muhlenberg College): Obama - 48%, McCain - 41%, Others - 3%.
TENNESSEE (Rasmussen): McCain - 58%, Obama - 39%.
TEXAS (Rasmussen): McCain - 52%, Obama - 43%.
VIRGINIA (CNN/Time): Obama - 53%, McCain - 44%.
WISCONSIN (Strategic Vision-R): Obama - 49%, McCain - 40%, Others - 2%.

US SENATE. The latest independent polls for the US Senate match-ups:
MISSISSIPPI (Rasmussen): US Senator Roger Wicker (R) - 49%, former Governor Ronnie Musgrove (D) - 47%.
OKLAHOMA (SurveyUSA): US Senator Jim Inhofe (R) - 53%, State Senator Andrew Rice (D) - 37%, businessman Stephen Wallace (I) - 7%.

TENNESSEE (Rasmussen): US Senator Lamar Alexander (R) - 56%, former State Democratic Chair Bob Tuke (D) - 32%.
TEXAS (Rasmussen): US Senator John Cornyn (R) - 50%, State Representative Rick Noriega (D) - 43%.

GOVERNOR. The new independent polls for the gubernatorial contests:
INDIANA (Research 2000): Governor Mitch Daniels (R) - 47%, former Congresswoman Jill Long Thompson (D) - 46%
.

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301.

CONGRESS. Here are the latest independent polls for US House races.
PENNSYLVANIA CD-3 (SurveyUSA): Lake Erie Arboretum Director Kathy Dahlkemper (D) - 49%, Congressman Phil English (R) - 45%
.
Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 10.02.08 | Permalink |

WEDNESDAY NEWS UPDATE.

MARKETS REBOUND ON HOPES FOR REVIVED BAILOUT; AND SWING STATE POLLS.

WALL STREET BAILOUT. Wall Street rebounded strongly on Tuesday, in large part due to a belief that some form of bailout will still be approved before Congress goes into recess for the fall elections. Dem opponents revived their push for giving bankruptcy judges the power to restructure mortgages to avoid foreclosures. GOP opponents, by contrast, want concessions to better empower businesses while not increasing their tax burdens. Centrists -- and leadership -- believe slight tinkering with Monday's version will be enough to gain the few votes needed for House passage. Speaking with MSNBC, House Majority Whip Jim Clyburn (D-SC) explained how the bailout failed on Monday. He said the bipartisan leadership agreement was that House Dems were responsible for producing at least 118 votes in support of the bailout and House Republicans had agreed to deliver 100 votes. Clyburn said he spoke with Republican Whip Roy Blunt a "few hours" before the vote and Blunt told him the GOP count was only at "the mid-70s to 80s." In response, Clyburn said he helped deliver 140 votes to provide Blunt with a cushion -- but the Republicans still fell short of their estimated whip count and produced only 65 votes in support of the rescue plan. And -- considering the roll John McCain said he played in "convincing" House Republicans back the bill -- it was notable that every Arizona Republican in the House voted against the bailout on Monday. Both sides are talking behind closed doors, with another vote likely before the end of the week. Senate leaders of both parties hope to force a Senate vote by Wednesday evening, in an effort to pressure House members ot back the bailout.

P2008 - DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the latest independent state polls on the Presidential race:
ARIZONA (Rasmussen): McCain - 59%, Obama - 38%.
FLORIDA (PPP-D): Obama - 49%, McCain - 46%.
GEORGIA (SurveyUSA): McCain - 52%, Obama - 44%, Others - 2%.
INDIANA (SurveyUSA): McCain - 48%, Obama - 45%, Others - 3%.
OHIO (SurveyUSA): McCain - 49%, Obama - 48%.
OHIO (Insider Advantage): Obama - 47%, McCain - 45%, Others - 1%.
PENNSYLVANIA (Muhlenberg College): Obama - 49%, McCain - 41%, Others - 3%.
VIRGINIA (Insider Advantage): Obama - 51%, McCain - 45%, Others - 1%.

GOVERNOR. The new independent polls for the gubernatorial contests:
INDIANA (SurveyUSA): Governor Mitch Daniels (R) - 53%, former Congresswoman Jill Long Thompson (D) - 37%, engineer Andy Horning (Libt) - 6%.
.

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301.

US SENATE. The latest independent polls for the US Senate match-ups:
GEORGIA (SurveyUSA): US Senator Saxby Chambliss (R) - 46%, former State Rep. Jim Martin (D) - 44%, attorney Allen Buckley (Libt) - 5%
.
Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 10.01.08 | Permalink |

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