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BLOG ARCHIVE: SEPTEMBER 16-30, 2008.

TUESDAY NEWS UPDATE.

BAILOUT PLAN FAILS IN HOUSE, MARKETS CRASH; PLUS OUR USUAL DAILY DOSE OF TRACKING POLLS.

WALL STREET BAILOUT. The House rejected the bipartisan $700 billion bailout plan backed by the Congressional Democratic and Republican leadership and the White House by a 205-228 vote. The opposition was also bipartisan, with 95 Democrats and 113 Republicans voting against the plan. The Republican opponents primairily complained the plan was a governmental semi-nationalization of the private sector, while the Democratic opponents generally wanted more help for individuals facing home foreclosure. In the end, the opposition was simply too strong for the centrists who backed the plan. In response to the defeat, Wall Street recorded the largest single-day point drop in history. It was a drop of 778 points (-7%). Business experts predict another giant slide on Tuesday. Plan proponents vow to return with a revised proposal later this week ... if they think they have the votes for passage. The White House, meanwhile, is exploring options for financing the bailout on their own terms exclusively by Presidential executive order. No matter which side you're on, the coming days and weeks look rather bleak for our US economy.

P2008 - DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the latest independent state polls on the Presidential race:
COLORADO (Fox/Rasmussen): Obama - 49%, McCain - 48%.
FLORIDA (Fox/Rasmussen): Obama - 47%, McCain - 47%.
FLORIDA (SurveyUSA): McCain - 48%, Obama - 47%, Others - 3%.
NEW JERSEY (SurveyUSA): Obama - 52%, McCain - 42%, Others - 3%.
NORTH CAROLINA (PPP-D): Obama - 47%, McCain - 45%, Barr - 3%.
OHIO (Fox/Rasmussen): McCain - 48%, Obama - 47%.
PENNSYLVANIA (Fox/Rasmussen): Obama - 50%, McCain - 42%.
VIRGINIA (Fox/Rasmussen): Obama - 50%, McCain - 47%.

US SENATE. The latest independent polls for the US Senate match-ups:
IOWA (Research 2000): US Senator Tom Harkin (D) - 54%, businessman Chris Reed (R) - 40%.
NEW JERSEY (SurveyUSA): US Senator Frank Lautenberg (D) - 51%, former Congressman Dick Zimmer (R) - 38%, Others - 9%.
NORTH CAROLINA (PPP-D): State Senator Kay Hagan (D) - 46%, US Senator Elizabeth Dole (R) - 38%, postal worker Chris Cole (Libt) - 6%.
TENNESSEE (Western Tennessee State Univ.): US Senator Lamar Alexander (R) - 50%, former State Democratic Chair Bob Tuke (D) - 26%.

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301.

CONGRESS. Here are the latest independent polls for US House races.
FLORIDA CD-25 (Research 2000): Congressman Mario Diaz-Balart (R) - 45%, former Miami-Dade Democratic Chair Joe Garcia (D) - 41%.
NEW JERSEY CD-2 (Zogby): Congressman Frank LoBiondo (R) - 62%, Cape May Councilman David Kurkowski (D) - 26%.
NEW JERSEY CD-3 (Zogby): Medford Township Councilman Chris Myers (R) - 39%, State Senator John Adler (D) - 37%.
Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 09.30.08 | Permalink |

MONDAY NEWS UPDATE.

HOUSE & SENATE LEADERS OF BOTH PARTIES BACK BAILOUT, BUT OPPOSITION EXISTS IN BOTH PARTIES; PLUS SOME PREZ, US SEN & HOUSE POLLS.

WALL STREET BAILOUT. The House and Senate leadership from both parties announced early Sunday morning that an agreement had been reached on the $700 billion bailout plan. Party leaders posted the specifics of the 106-page bill online for the public the view for 24 hours before the first floor votes would be taken. While most indicated the bill had sufficient bipartisan support to widely pass, there were some skeptics. Congressman Dennis Kucinich (D-OH), a leftist critic, said he doubted there were sufficient votes to pass the plan. "If the votes were there, this would be on the floor. The votes aren’t there," said Kucinich. Passage of the plan comes down to a fight between the opponents of the plan (an odd coalition of those on the left wing of the Democrats and the right wing of the Republicans) versus the centrists and leadership who support the plan. Senator Judd Gregg (R-NH) was openly losing patience with Republican opponents of the plan. "If we don’t pass it, we shouldn't be in Congress," Judd snapped at his colleagues. The first votes could come on Monday. "I’m not sure yet we can sell it to our conference, but I’m 100 percent sure that this is the best deal we could get," said House Minority Whip Roy Blunt (R-MO). Influential Congressman Mike Pence (R-IN) announced his opposition to the revised plan on Sunday, while Chief Deputy Minority Whip Eric Cantor (R-VA) remained non-committal. "We are not ready to say that a deal is done," said Cantor. Most believe sufficient bipartisan support exists in Congress to pass the bailout plan this week.

P2008 - DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the latest independent state polls on the Presidential race:
CALIFORNIA (SurveyUSA): Obama - 53%, McCain - 43%.
CALIFORNIA (PPIC): Obama - 50%, McCain - 40%.
CONNECTICUT (SurveyUSA): Obama - 54%, McCain - 38%.
FLORIDA (Rasmussen): McCain - 48%, Obama - 47%.
IOWA (Rasmussen): Obama - 51%, McCain - 43%.
KENTUCKY (Mason-Dixon): McCain - 53%, Obama - 41%.
LOUISIANA (Rasmussen): McCain - 55%, Obama - 40%.
MISSOURI (SurveyUSA): McCain - 48%, Obama - 46%.
MISSOURI (Research 2000): McCain - 47%, Obama - 46%.
MONTANA (Research 2000): McCain - 52%, Obama - 39%.
OREGON (Research 2000): Obama - 53%, McCain - 39%.
PENNSYLVANIA (Muhlenberg College): Obama - 47%, McCain - 43%, Others - 2%.
TENNESSEE (Mason-Dixon): McCain - 53%, Obama - 39%.
VIRGINIA (Rasmussen): Obama - 50%, McCain - 45%.
WASHINGTON (SurveyUSA): Obama - 54%, McCain - 43%, Others - 2%.
WYOMING (Research 2000): McCain - 57%, Obama - 36%, Others - 4%.

US SENATE. The latest independent polls for the US Senate match-ups:
SOUTH CAROLINA (Research 2000): US Senator Lindsey Graham (R) - 51%, engineer Bob Conley (D) - 42%.
WYOMING (Research 2000): US Senator Mike Enzi (R) - 59%, college professor Chris Rothfuss (D) - 35%.
WYOMING - SPECIAL (Research 2000): US Senator John Barrasso (R) - 58%, attorney Nick Carter (D) - 34%.

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301.

CONGRESS. Here are the latest independent polls for US House races.
CALIFORNIA CD-4 (Research 2000): Retired USAF officer Charlie Brown (D) - 46%, State Senator Tom McClintock (R) - 41%.
FLORIDA CD-13 (Research 2000): Congressman Vern Buchanan (R) - 43%, banker Christine Jennings (D) - 31%, Others - 6%.
FLORIDA CD-18 (Research 2000): Congresswoman Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R) - 53%, businesswoman Annette Taddeo (D) - 36%.
KENTUCKY CD-2 (SurveyUSA): State Senator Brett Guthrie (R) - 49%, State Senator David Boswell (D) - 43%.
NEW YORK CD-26 (SurveyUSA): Businessman Chris Lee (R) - 48%, attorney Alice Kryzan (D) - 37%, Iraq War veteran Jon Powers (WF) - 5%
.
WYOMING (Reseach 2000): Former State Treasurer Cynthia Lummis (R) - 42%, former Teton County School Board Chair Gary Trauner (D) - 42% .
Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 09.29.08 | Permalink |

SUNDAY NEWS UPDATE.

FIRST OBAMA-McCAIN DEBATE ENDS IN VIRTUAL TIE ... PLUS TWO NEW US SENATE POLLS.

P2008. Here's a new thread so you can keep debating the debate (and other weekend developments) in the White House race. My take on the Friday debate: Both men did rather well, but the first encounter will ultimately have little effect on swing voters.

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301.

US SENATE. The latest independent polls for the US Senate match-ups:
KENTUCKY (Louisville Courier-Journal): US Senator Mitch McConnell (R) - 41%, businessman Bruce Lunsford (D) - 41%.
LOUISIANA (Rasmussen): US Senator Mary Landrieu (D) - 54%, State Treasurer John Kennedy (R) - 41%.
Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 09.28.08 | Permalink |

SATURDAY NEWS UPDATE.

FIRST OBAMA-McCAIN DEBATE; NEW POLLS.

P2008. Friday night saw the first of three Presidential candidate debates between John McCain and Barack Obama. Unlike the McCain campaign -- which prematurely launched web ads amusingly declaring McCain "the debate winner" hours before the debate started -- I'm not going to offer commentary on the debate. Just this thread for y'all to comment on it.

GOVERNOR. The new independent polls for the gubernatorial contests:
DELAWARE (Fairleigh Dickinson Univ.): State Treasurer Jack Merkell (D) - 61%, retired Superior Court Judge Bill Lee (R) - 27%.
MISSOURI (SurveyUSA): Attorney General Jay Nixon (D) - 54%, Congressman Kenny Hulshof (R) - 37%, software engineer Andy Finkenstadt (Libt) - 2%, former school district superintendent Gregory Thompson (Const) - 2%.

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301.

US SENATE. The latest independent polls for the US Senate match-ups:
OREGON (Research 2000): House Speaker Jeff Merkley (D) - 45%, US Senator Gordon Smith (R) - 40%.
VIRGINIA (Rasmussen): Former Governor Mark Warner (D) - 60%, former Governor Jim Gilmore (R) - 34%.
WEST VIRGINIA (Rasmussen): US Senator Jay Rockefeller (D) - 61%, former State Senator Jay Wolfe (R) - 33%.
Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 09.27.08 | Permalink |

FRIDAY NEWS UPDATE.

OBAMA PLAYS LEADING ROLE IN WHITE HOUSE TALKS, McCAIN PLOTTED WITH HOUSE GOP TO SABOTAGE BUSH/PAULSON PLAN; BAILOUT PLAN IN BIG TROUBLE, LOOK FOR VERY NERVOUS MARKETS.

WALL STREET BAILOUT. After a day of optimistic news that both parties had "fundamental agreement" for Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson $700 billion bailout plan, the deal fell apart in bitter arguing during the meeting at the White House called by President Bush. The President reportedly convened the meeting at the urging of John McCain. Instead, the meeting backfired on both Bush and McCain. When the President called on House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid to set forth the Democratic plan, they jointly deferred to Barack Obama, who set forth the Democrats' concerns. One Republican at the meeting told The Politico that Obama's leading role -- versus McCain's nearly silent role at the meeting -- was "an ambush" and the Democrats "did a very good job" of surprising Bush and McCain. Obama immediately raised concerns that House Republicans had spent the day secretly plotting with McCain to sabotage the Bush/Paulson plan. Obama said the Democrats would not be party to advancing any bailout plan if McCain and the Congressional Republicans were not solidly behind the plan. Congressman Paul Ryan (R-WI) -- one of the fiscal hawks who had been crafting the conservative alternative plan -- confirmed that the House Republicans had met with McCain during the day as they worked on the rival plan. House Republicans complained they felt "squeezed" by the Democrats, Bush, Paulson, and a sizable bipartisan Senate coalition to back the bailout plan. "This is such a crisis I’m not going to draw some line in the sand. We can’t leave without doing something, but we don’t think the votes are here for Paulson," said Ryan. As the White House meeting degenerated into bickering, the Democrats walked out to caucus in the East Room. Paulson ran after the Dems and -- according to the newspaper -- literally got down on his knees "begging that they not 'blow up' the [bailout] legislation." Additionally, Politico reported that "the whole sequence of events confirmed [Paulson]’s fears about the decision by Bush, at the urging of McCain, to allow presidential politics into what were already difficult negotiations." While the various factions -- along with Paulson shuttling between them -- were meeting Thursday night to start from scratch on rival plans, it is clear there will be no deal before Friday night's debate. Look for a potentially calamitous day on the world markets on Friday, as the situation is very fluid.

P2008. If Barack Obama goes forward with his plan to attend the scheduled debate on Friday night, McCain now has some tough decisions to make. Does he let Obama have a gigantic national TV audience all to himself ... or does he go back on his earlier pledge and instead fly to Mississippi for the debate? And will the topic be switched from foreign policy to the economy, possibly during the debate at the urging of the candidate(s)? Stay tuned.

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301.

US SENATE. The latest independent polls for the US Senate match-ups:
DELAWARE (SurveyUSA): US Senator Joe Biden (D) - 64%, political consultant Christine O'Donnell (R) - 32%.
MAINE (SurveyUSA): US Senator Susan Collins (R) - 55%, Congressman Tom Allen (D) - 39%.
MASSACHUSETTS (Rasmussen): US Senator John Kerry (D) - 65%, businessman Jeff Beatty (R) - 30%.
NORTH CAROLINA (Rasmussen): State Senator Kay Hagan (D) - 48%, US Senator Elizabeth Dole (R) - 45%.
OERGON (SurveyUSA): House Speaker Jeff Merkley (D) - 44%, US Senator Gordon Smith (R) - 42%.
Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 09.26.08 | Permalink |

THURSDAY NEWS UPDATE.

McCAIN TRIES HAIL MARY "SUSPENSION" TO REVIVE SLUMPING CAMPAIGN; OBAMA SAYS AMERICANS NEED TO HEAR FROM BOTH MEN; PREZ DEBATE COMMISSION SAYS DEBATE GOES FORWARD AS SCHEDULED.

P2008. In a totally unexpected move, John McCain announced Wednesday afternoon he was suspending his campaign, cancelling all TV ads, returning to DC to get involved in the Wall Street bailout plan negotiations, and was demanding a postponement of Friday night's scheduled debate. "I am calling on the President to convene a meeting with the leadership from both houses of Congress, including Senator Obama and myself. It is time for both parties to come together to solve this problem," said McCain. The announcement came just hours after McCain initially said he wouldn't return to Capitol Hill -- for the first time in five months -- to get involved in the negotiations because it would distract from the ongoing bipartisan discussions. New national polls also showed McCain's numbers continuing to slip. The announcement just a few hours after Barack Obama telephoned McCain to suggest the two men issue a joint statement supporting a bipartisan congressional effort to stabilize our failing economy. McCain's political gamble seemed to be his panicked response to Obama's unity call. Obama quickly shot back that the debate should go forward -- possibly on the topic of the economy (instead of foreign policy, as planned). "This is exactly the time when the American people need to hear from the person will be the next President. It is going to be part of the President's job to deal with more than one thing at once. It's more important than ever to present ourselves to the American people," said Obama. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D) also slammed McCain's move: "It would not be helpful at this time to have them come back during these negotiations and risk injecting Presidential politics into this process or distract important talks about the future of our nation's economy. We need leadership, not a campaign photo op. If there were ever a time for both candidates to hold a debate before the American people about this serious challenge, it is now." The bipartisan Presidential Debate Commission said Wednesday evening that the Friday night debate in Mississippi will go forward as scheduled months ago. That means McCain must uncomfortably decide between giving Obama a solo national TV appearance against an empty chair (and with an audience 100 million viewers) -- or retract his vow that he will not appear at the debate unless there is a bailout deal finalized before Friday night. FYI: A SurveyUSA snap national poll taken hours after McCain's announcement -- conducted for 42 TV stations around the country -- showed only 10% of voters thought the debate should be postponed and just 14% supported McCain's decision to suspend his campaign. In related news, Senate Majority Whip Dick Durbin and Senate Budget Committee Chair Kent Conrad said Senate Democrats had reached a very "general, conceptual -- but fragile -- agreement" with the Bush Administration on the bailout, according to The Hill. However, the Senators warned it is a "fragile framework could very easily fall apart as more specific definitions and details begin to be ironed out."

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301. Today's thanks go out to:
Non-profit executive and peace activist Gordon Clark (Green-Maryland) - Candidate for Congress in CD-8.

US SENATE. The latest independent polls for the US Senate match-ups:
KANSAS (SurveyUSA): US Senator Pat Roberts (R) - 55%, former Congressman Jim Slattery (D) - 35%.
SOUTH CAROLINA (SurveyUSA): US Senator Lindsey Graham (R) - 54%, engineer Bob Conley (D) - 40%
.
Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 09.25.08 | Permalink |

WEDNESDAY NEWS UPDATE.

TRILLION DOLLAR BAILOUT PLAN HITS ROADBLOCKS; AND SOME BAILOUT PLAN HUMOR.

WALL STREET BAILOUT. The Bush Administration's Wall Street bailout plan ran into major obstacles from the left and right during hearings on Capitol Hill. Several key Republicans -- including Senate Banking Committee member Jim Bunning (R-KY) -- announced his outright opposition to the bailout plan, calling it a "socialist" plan. Vice President Dick Cheney was dispatched to a close door meeting with House Republicans. When the meeting ended, numerous GOP legislators told reporters Cheney received a rather hostile response to the bailout plan. Congressman Spencer Bachus (R-AL) said he had "tremendous unease" about the bailout plan. Democrats, meanwhile, balked at Bush Administration resistance to a meaningful oversight board, to allowing judges to restructure mortgage terms, and -- most significantly -- to demanding an equity stake for the federal government in any company seeking a government bailout. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D) also let her Democratic colleagues know that she will not allow any bailout plan to advance to a House vote unless there is "significant Republican support" for the plan. One thing is clear: the chances for the Bush Administration to secure passage of a "clean" bailout bill on the White House's terms are now almost zero. Some question whether there is sufficient support, regardless of any conditions or modifications, for any Wall Street bailout package.

On a related note, my friend Bob Norman of New Times wrote a great humor piece about "an email that showed up in my email box. I don't know, but I think it sounds sort of suspicious:"

Dear American:

I need to ask you to support an urgent secret business relationship with a transfer of funds of great magnitude.

I am Ministry of the Treasury of the Republic of America. My country has had crisis that has caused the need for large transfer of funds of 800 billion dollars US. If you would assist me in this transfer, it would be most profitable to you.

I am working with Mr. Phil Gram, lobbyist for UBS, who will be my replacement as Ministry of the Treasury in January. As a Senator, you may know him as the leader of American banking deregulation movement in the 1990s. This transactin is 100% safe.

This is a matter of great urgency. We need a blank check. We need the funds as quickly as possible. We cannot directly transfer these funds in the names of our close friends because we are constantly under surveillance. My family lawyer advised me that I should look for a reliable and trustworthy person who will act as a next of kin so the funds can be transferred.

Please reply with all of your bank account, IRA and college fund account numbers and those of your children and grandchildren to wallstreetbailout@treasury.gov so that we may transfer your commission for this transaction. After I receive that information, I will respond with detailed information about safeguards that will be used to protect the funds.

Yours Faithfully,

Minister of Treasury Paulson

A VERY SHORT EDITORIAL. No equity stake for US taxpayers = No bailout deal. And no compromising on this point.
Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 09.24.08 | Permalink |

RON PAUL DISSES BARR, ENDORSES BALDWIN; NEW POLLS FOR PREZ, US SEN, GOVERNOR, CONGRESS.

RON PAUL. Former Congressman Bob Barr (Libertarian) managed to so annoy former Congressman Ron Paul (R-TX) over the past two weeks that he provoked Paul to endorse a rival candidate on Tuesday. Paul endorsed fundamentalist minister Chuck Baldwin (Constitution) for President -- but did so in a statement that blistered his former ally Barr. In a rather petulant written statement, Paul explained: "The Libertarian Party Candidate admonished me for 'remaining neutral' in the presidential race and not stating whom I will vote for in November ... I’ve thought about the unsolicited advice from the Libertarian Party candidate, and he has convinced me to reject my neutral stance in the November election. I’m supporting Chuck Baldwin, the Constitution Party candidate." Barr embarrassed Paul two weeks ago when -- with less than an hour's notice -- Barr withdrew from a planned Paul press conference in DC which also featured fellow anti-Iraq War Presidential candidates Baldwin, Cynthia McKinney (Green), and Ralph Nader (Independent).

P2008 - DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the latest independent state polls on the Presidential race:
CALIFORNIA (Rasmussen): Obama - 56%, McCain - 39%.
COLORADO (Quinnipiac Univ/Wall Street Journal): Obama - 49%, McCain - 45%, Others - 1%.
COLORADO (PPP-D): Obama - 51%, McCain - 44%.
FLORIDA (NBC News/Mason-Dixon): Obama - 47%, McCain - 45%.
KANSAS (Rasmussen): McCain - 58%, Obama - 38%.
KENTUCKY (SurveyUSA): McCain - 57%, Obama - 38%.
MICHIGAN (Quinnipiac Univ/Wall Street Journal): Obama - 48%, McCain - 44%, Others - 1%.
MICHIGAN (Inside Michigan Politics/MRG): McCain - 46%, Obama - 43%, Others - 5%.
MINNESOTA CHIGAN (Quinnipiac Univ/Wall Street Journal): Obama - 47%, McCain - 45%, Others - 2%.
OHIO (Insider Advantage): Obama - 46%, McCain - 46%.
WASHINGTON (SurveyUSA): Obama - 54%, McCain - 43%, Others - 2%.
WISCONSIN (Quinnipiac Univ/Wall Street Journal): Obama - 49%, McCain - 42%, Others - 1%.

US SENATE. The latest independent polls for the US Senate match-ups:
COLORADO (Quinnipiac Univ/Wall Street Journal): Congressman Mark Udall (D) - 48%, former Congressman Bob Schaffer (R) - 40%, Other - 1%.
KANSAS (Rasmussen): US Senator Pat Roberts (R) - 58%, former Congressman Jim Slattery (D) - 38%.
KENTUCKY (Research 2000): US Senator Mitch McConnell (R) - 49%, businessman Bruce Lunsford (D) - 46%.
MINNESOTA (Quinnipiac Univ/Wall Street Journal): US Senator Norm Coleman (R) - 49%, humorist Al Franken (D) - 42%, Other - 3%.

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated -- like this LBJ-Claude Pepper pin from 1964). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301.

GOVERNOR. The new independent polls for the gubernatorial contests:
WASHINGTON (SurveyUSA): Governor Christine Gregoire (D) - 50%, former State Senator Dino Rossi (R) - 48%.

CONGRESS. Here are the latest independent polls for US House races.
OHIO CD-1 (SurveyUSA): Congressman Steve Chabot (R) - 46%, State House Minority Whip Steve Dreihaus (D) - 44%, Others - 6%.
OHIO CD-2 (SurveyUSA): Congresswoman Jean Schmidt (R) - 48%, physician Victoria Wulsin (D) - 40%, Others - 10%.
OHIO CD-15 (SurveyUSA): Franklin County Commissioner Mary Jo Kilroy (D) - 47%, State Senator Steve Stivers - 42%, pro-life activist Don Eckhart (I) - 5%, software engineer Mark Noble (Libt) - 3%.
OHIO CD-16 (SurveyUSA): State Senator John Boccieri (D) - 49%, State Senator Kirk Schuring (R) - 41%.

Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 09.24.08 | Permalink |

TUESDAY NEWS UPDATE.

WALL STREET PLUNGES, OIL SKYROCKETS; DEMS PROPOSE BAILOUT ALTERNATIVE PLAN; THE DAILY POLLS; AND RON ENDORSES THE SEMI-NATIONALIZATION OF FAILING INVESTMENT FIRMS AND BANKS.

ECONOMY. The Dow Jones plunged 373 points and oil posted the largest one-day price hike in history on Monday, as Wall Street anxieties about the proposed $700 billion bailout grew. Congressional Democrats demanded several conditions on the Bush Administration's proposed bailout plan. They believed the Bush proposal would largely give Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson a $700 billion blank check with few conditions, almost zero accountability, and shifted the entire burden on taxpayers while financially rewarding mismanaged companies and banks. Senate Banking Committee Chair Chris Dodd (D-CT) proposed a Democratic alternative plan which meets all of the key points of the Bush proposal, but demands that the federal government be given equity interests in the companies bailed out; the creation of an oversight board that would report monthly to Congress; limits on compensation for top Wall Street executives of companies that take part in the bailout; and allow federal bankruptcy judges to restructure mortgages to enable homeowners to avoid foreclosure. House Democrats proposed a similar plan, but the differing details may doom passage of any bailout plan in the remaining few days before Congress adjourns in two weeks for the election season. The Bush Administration appears to oppose some of these conditions, calling instead for Congress to pass a "clean" bill limited to the outline set forth by the White House. The chance of a clean bill passing Congress appear to be nearly zero. On top of this, fiscal conservative Congressional Republicans like Senator Richard Shelby (R-AL), Congressman Mike Pence (R-IN) and others are also raising serious concerns about the Bush bailout plan. Shelby -- the ranking Republican on the Senate Banking Committee -- said he will not be rushed by the White House into making snap decisions on a questionable trillion-dollar Wall Street bailout. Initial independent polls show less than a third of all voters support the bailout plan, even if the US is purportedly on the brink of an imminent economic collapse.

P2008 - DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the latest independent state polls on the Presidential race:
FLORIDA (ABC News/Washington Post): McCain - 51%, Obama - 46%.
MICHIGAN (Rasmussen): Obama - 51%, McCain - 44%.
MICHIGAN (Fox News/Rasmussen): Obama - 51%, McCain - 44%.
MINNESOTA (Rasmussen): Obama - 52%, McCain - 44%.
NEVADA (Suffolk Univ.): McCain - 46%, Obama - 45%, Nader - 2%, Barr - 1%.
NEW HAMPSHIRE (Univ. of New Hampshire): McCain - 47%, Obama - 45%, Others - 1%.
NEW MEXICO (PPP-D): Obama - 53%, McCain - 42%.
NORTH CAROLINA (Civitas-R): Obama - 45%, McCain - 45%, Barr - 1%.
NORTH CAROLINA (Rasmussen): McCain - 50%, Obama - 47%.
OHIO (ABC News/Washington Post): McCain - 50%, Obama - 46%.
PENNSYLVANIA (Fox News/Rasmussen): Obama - 48%, McCain - 45%.
PENNSYLVANIA (NBC News/Mason-Dixon): Obama - 46%, McCain - 44%.
VIRGINIA (SurveyUSA): Obama - 51%, McCain - 45%, Others - 2%.
VIRGINIA (Fox News/Rasmussen): McCain - 50%, Obama - 48%.
VIRGINIA (ABC News/Washington Post): Obama - 49%, McCain - 46%, Others - 0%.
VIRGINIA (ARG): McCain - 48%, Obama - 46%, Others - 0%.

US SENATE. The latest independent polls for the US Senate match-ups:
MINNESOTA (Minneapolis Star-Tribune): US Senator Norm Coleman (R) - 48%, humorist Al Franken (D) - 47%, former US Senator Dean Barkley (IP) - 3%.
NEW MEXICO (PPP-D): Congressman Tom Udall (D) - 57%, Congressman Steve Pearce (R) - 37%.
NORTH CAROLINA (Rasmussen): State Senator Kay Hagan (D) - 51%, US Senator Elizabeth Dole (R) - 45%.
NORTH CAROLINA (PPP-D): State Senator Kay Hagan (D) - 46%, US Senator Elizabeth Dole (R) - 41%, postal worker Chris Cole (Libt) - 6%.
OKLAHOMA (Research 2000): US Senator Jim Inhofe (R) - 56%, State Senator Andrew Rice (D) - 34%.
VIRGINIA (SurveyUSA): Former Governor Mark Warner (D) - 57%, former Governor Jim Gilmore (R) - 34%, businesswoman Gail Parker (Ind Green) - 3%, Libertarian National Chairman Bill Redpath (Libt) - 3%.
VIRGINIA (ABC News/Washington Post): Former Governor Mark Warner (D) - 61%, former Governor Jim Gilmore (R) - 31%, businesswoman Gail Parker (Ind Green) - 1%, Libertarian National Chairman Bill Redpath (Libt) - 1%.

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301.

GOVERNOR. Here are the latest independent polls for US House races.
MISSOURI (Research 2000): Attorney General Jay Nixon (D) - 50%, Congressman Kenny Hulshof (R) - 43%, Others - 2%.

AN EDITORIAL. If Wall Street -- and the Bush Administration -- want American taxpayers to foot the bill to save their corporations and banks, then the deal needs to be a two-way street. That means an equity stake for the US Government in all companies that require absorption of debts. That also means capping the compensation for the corporate executives of the companies seeking help. In fact, let's adopt all five of the very reasonable proposals suggested by former US Labor Secretary Robert Reich. Click here to read Reich's proposal. If these greedy corporations want US taxpayers to pick up a $1 trillion tab for their bad business decisions -- and leave the companies in stronger shape -- they need to give something back. Consider this an unqualified endorsement of the Reich plan (which is pretty darn close to the Chris Dodd plan). Call it a semi-nationalization of investment companies and banks, if you like ... I don't care ... but you cannot have our tax dollars unless we get something back.
Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 09.23.08 | Permalink |

MONDAY NEWS UPDATE.

OBAMA, McCAIN YET TO ENDORSE BAILOUT PLAN, DEM LEADERS BACK AWAY FROM PLAN; VP DEBATE FORMAT PROTECTS PALIN; AND LOTS OF POLLS.

ECONOMY. Barack Obama and John McCain have both, to date, withheld endorsing the Bush Administration's emergency financial bail-out plan. With an estimated price tag between $700 billion and $1 trillion -- and with polling data showing the public is skeptical of the proposal -- both men appear to be waiting until all of the details are specified before taking a stance. On the other side, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, Senate Banking Committee Chair Chris Dodd (D-CT) and Senator Banking Committee Ranking Minority Member Richard Shelby (R-AL) all used nearly identical language the the United States was possibly "just days from a total financial meltdown" before this plan was floated. Essentially, they seem to be warning we stand on the brink of total economic collapse unless this dramatic action is taken to stop a historic crash into economic calamity. Without the plan, supporters warn many of our banks and large corporations will imminently fold. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi indicated the Democratic leadership was backing away from their previous announced general support for the Bush Administration plan. "We will not simply hand over a $700 billion blank check to Wall Street and hope for a better outcome," said Pelosi, saying the plan must have tough safeguards to protect taxpayers and ensure accountability on Wall Street. Senate Judiciary Committee Chair Pat Leahy (D-VT) promised Congress "will do something this week. But ... this will be ‘trust but verify.’ The biggest mistake they can make is holding a press conference while we’re negotiating to say there’s going to be a worldwide depression if Congress doesn’t do exactly what we want them to." Stay tuned to see what happens next.

P2008. The Presidential debates and Vice Presidential debate will have radically different formats. While the three encounters between John McCain and Barack Obama are going to largely be free-form events with extensive direct exchanges between the two men. The VP debate, however, will be a tightly controlled event. Although McCain says Sarah Palin is prepared to become President, his campaign advisors refused to allow any VP debate with a similar format. They worried Joe Biden is a significantly stronger debater and is more versed on the details on a broad array of issues than is Palin. Instead, the VP debate will feature a structured, moderated Q&A format allowing for only brief answers and follow-ups.

P2008 - DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the latest independent state polls on the Presidential race:
ALABAMA (USA Polling Group): McCain - 52%, Obama - 25%.
FLORIDA (Miami Herald): McCain - 47%, Obama - 45%.
FLORIDA (Research 2000): McCain - 46%, Obama - 45%, Others - 3%.
ILLINOIS (Research 2000): Obama - 56%, McCain - 36%.
ILLINOIS (Rasmussen): Obama - 56%, McCain - 40%.
IOWA (SurveyUSA): Obama - 54%, McCain - 43%, Others - 2%.
IOWA (Research 2000): Obama - 53%, McCain - 39%, Others - 3%.
MICHIGAN (EPIC/MRA): Obama - 43%, McCain - 42%, Nader - 2%, Barr - 2%.
MICHIGAN (ARG): Obama - 48%, McCain - 46%, Others - 0%.
MICHIGAN (Marist College): Obama - 50%, McCain - 41%.
MISSOURI (Research 2000): McCain - 49%, Obama - 45%.
NORTH CAROLINA (PPP-D): McCain - 46%, Obama - 46%, Barr - 5%.
NORTH DAKOTA (Research 2000): McCain - 53%, Obama - 40%.
OHIO (Marist College): McCain - 44%, Obama - 44%.
OHIO (Univ. of Cincinnati): McCain - 48%, Obama - 42%, Nader - 4%, Barr - 1%.
PENNSYLVANIA (Marist College): Obama - 45%, McCain - 42%.
SOUTH CAROLINA (Rasmussen): McCain - 51%, Obama - 45%.

US SENATE. The latest independent polls for the US Senate match-ups:
ALABAMA (SurveyUSA): US Senator Jeff Sessions (R) - 66%, State Senator Vivian Davis Figures (D) - 31%.
IDAHO (Research 2000): Lt. Governor Jim Risch (R) - 56%, former Congressman Larry LaRocco (D) - 33%, rancher Rex Rammell (I) - 3%.
ILLINOIS (Rasmussen): US Senator Dick Durbin (D) - 59%, physician Steve Sauerberg (R) - 35%.
IOWA (SurveyUSA): US Senator Tom Harkin (D) - 60%, businessman Chris Reed (R) - 37%.
KENTUCKY (Research 2000): US Senator Mitch McConnell (R) - 50%, businessman Bruce Lunsford (D) - 37%.
MICHIGAN (EPIC/MRA): US Senator Carl Levin (D) - 56%, State Representative Jack Hoogendyk (R) - 28%.
NEW JERSEY (Rasmussen): US Senator Frank Lautenberg (D) - 49%, former Congressman Dick Zimmer (R) - 42%.
NEW JERSEY (Strategic Vision-R): US Senator Frank Lautenberg (D) - 47%, former Congressman Dick Zimmer (R) - 40%.
SOUTH CAROLINA (Rasmussen): US Senator Lindsey Graham (R) - 50%, engineer Bob Conley (D) - 41%.

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301. Today's thanks go out to:
US Senator Pat Roberts (R-Kansas) - Candidate for re-election.
State Treasurer Lynn Jenkins (R-Kansas) - Candidate for Congress in CD-2.
... and a special thanks to Trent LeDoux -- who has a button auction site -- for sending me pins even for candidates he doesn't support.

GOVERNOR. Here are the latest independent polls for US House races.
INDIANA (Rasmussen): Governor Mitch Daniels (R) - 56%, former Congresswoman Jill Long Thompson (D) - 40%.

CONGRESS. Here are the latest independent polls for US House races.
IDAHO (Research 2000): Congressman Bill Sali (R) - 46%, businessman Walt Minnick (D) - 35%.
MISSOURI CD-6 (SurveyUSA): Congressman Sam Graves (R) - 51%, former Kansas City Mayor Kay Barnes (D) - 42%, attorney Dave Browning (Libt) - 4%.
MISSOURI CD-9 (Research 2000): Former State Rep. Blaine Luetkemeyer (R) - 49%, State Rep. Judy Baker (D) - 40%, Tamara Millay (Libt) - 6%.
NEW JERSEY CD-5 (Research 2000): Congressman Scott Garrett (R) - 49%, rabbi Dennis Shulman (D) - 34%, Others - 2%.
Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 09.22.08 | Permalink |

WEEKEND OPEN THREAD.

FREE SPEECH ZONE.Bush Quayle McCain

Enjoy the weekend ... and talk amongst yourselves.

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301.
Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 09.20.08 | Permalink |

FRIDAY NEWS UPDATE.

WALL STREET REBOUNDS ON FED DEBT BAILOUT RUMORS; ... PLUS A WHOPPING 48 NEW POLLS!!

ECONOMY. Wall Street rebounded 410 points on Thursday -- all in the closing hour of trading -- on rumors that the Bush Administration was planning to announce the creation of a new federal agency which would take bad loans off bank balance sheets. The details are still unclear, but CNN reported that President Bush, Treasurer Secretary Henry Paulson, Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke and SEC Chair Christopher Cox met during the afternoon to discuss some kind of long-term solution to the deepening economic problems. On Thursday evening, Paulson met with congressional leaders to discuss the plan -- but told them it would require quick legislative action to bring it about. House Financial Services Committee Chair Barney Frank (D) told The Politico that he could support a "one-time intervention" by the federal government, so long as the buying authority of the new agency could be capped both in terms of dollars and timing. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi promised quick congressional action. "I’ve been in the Senate for 28 years, Congress [for] 34, [and] there has never been a moment as serious as this one," said Senate Banking Committee Chair Chris Dodd (D). John McCain also quickly signaled his tentative support for the bailout plan -- but said he'll fire Cox if he becomes President. Obama had a different response: "For eight years, Bush-McCain economic policies have favored reckless deregulation and huge tax loopholes for big corporations. Now, as these corporations crumble, American taxpayers are facing costly bailouts. More of the same failed ideas are not going to solve our economic problems." Earlier in the day, the House GOP Leadership demanded that the Bush Administration send top officials over to meet with them to bring them up to speed on the White House's reasoning on the AIG bailout and the refusal to bailout Lehman Brothers. In response, the White House snubbed Minority Leader John Boehner (R) and his colleagues by not sending any Administration representative to the meeting. "There has been a lack of communication," complained Boehner. By late evening, Boehner sounded as if he supports the new bailout proposal despite his earlier complaints.

P2008 - DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the latest independent state polls on the Presidential race:
ALASKA (Research 2000): McCain - 55%, Obama - 38%, Others - 2%.
COLORADO (National Journal/FD): Obama - 45%, McCain - 44%.
COLORADO (Insider Advantage): Obama - 51%, McCain - 41%, Others - 2%.
CONNECTICUT (Rasmussen): Obama - 53%, McCain - 41%.
FLORIDA (National Journal/FD): Obama - 44%, McCain - 44%.
FLORIDA (SurveyUSA): McCain - 51%, Obama - 45%, Others - 1%.
FLORIDA (ARG): Obama - 46%, McCain - 46%, Others - 3%.
GEORGIA (Rasmussen): McCain - 54%, Obama - 43%.
GEORGIA (Insider Advantage): McCain - 51%, Obama - 43%, Others - 2%.
GEORGIA (SurveyUSA): McCain - 57%, Obama - 41%.
ILLINOIS (Univ of Wisconsin): Obama - 49%, McCain - 34%, Others - 2%.
INDIANA (Indianapolis Star/Selzer): Obama - 47%, McCain - 44%, Barr - 2%, Nader - 1%.
INDIANA (Univ of Wisconsin): McCain - 47%, Obama - 43%, Others - 2%.
IOWA (Univ of Wisconsin): Obama - 43%, McCain - 42%, Others - 2%.
LOUISIANA (ARG): McCain - 50%, Obama - 43%, Others - 1%.
MAINE (ARG): Obama - 51%, McCain - 41%.
MICHIGAN (Univ of Wisconsin): Obama - 44%, McCain - 41%, Others - 1%.
MINNESOTA (Univ of Wisconsin): Obama - 45%, McCain - 43%, Others - 2%.
MISSOURI (ARG): McCain - 50%, Obama - 45%.
MONTANA (ARG): McCain - 49%, Obama - 47%, Others - 1%.
NEBRASKA (ARG): McCain - 60%, Obama - 34%.
NEVADA (ARG): McCain - 49%, Obama - 46%.
NEW HAMPSHIRE (ARG): McCain - 48%, Obama - 45%, Others - 1%.
NEW JERSEY (Strategic Vision-R): Obama - 47%, McCain - 43%, Others - 2%.
NEW JERSEY (Rasmussen): Obama - 55%, McCain - 42%.
NEW MEXICO (National Journal/FD): Obama - 49%, McCain - 42%.
NEW MEXICO (ARG): Obama - 51%, McCain - 44%.
OHIO (National Journal): McCain - 42%, Obama - 41%.
OHIO (Univ of Wisconsin): McCain - 43%, Obama - 42%, Others - 2%.
OREGON (Portland Tribune): Obama - 50%, McCain - 40%.
PENNSYLVANIA (Univ of Wisconsin): Obama - 43%, McCain - 42%, Others - 1%.
SOUTH CAROLINA (ARG): McCain - 59%, Obama - 37%.
VERMONT (Rasmussen): Obama - 60%, McCain - 36%.
VIRGINIA (National Journal/FD): McCain - 48%, Obama - 41%.
VIRGINIA (Insider Advantage): McCain - 48%, Obama - 46%, Others - 1%.
WASHINGTON (Strategic Vision-R): Obama - 47%, McCain - 42%.
WEST VIRGINIA (ARG): McCain - 49%, Obama - 45%.
WISCONSIN (Univ of Wisconsin): Obama - 42%, McCain - 41%, Others - 1%.

US SENATE. The latest independent polls for the US Senate match-ups:
ALASKA (Research 2000): Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (D) - 50%, US Senator Ted Stevens (R) - 44%.
GEORGIA (Rasmussen): US Senator Saxby Chambliss (R) - 50%, former State Representative Jim Martin (D) - 43%.
GEORGIA (SurveyUSA): US Senator Saxby Chambliss (R) - 53%, former State Representative Jim Martin (D) - 36%, attorney Allen Buckley (Libt) - 8%.
MICHIGAN (Rasmussen): US Senator Carl Levin (D) - 56%, State Representative Jack Hoogendyk (R) - 36%.
NEW HAMPSHIRE (ARG): Former Governor Jeanne Shaheen (D) - 52%, US Senator John Sununu (R) - 40%.
NEW MEXICO (SurveyUSA): Congressman Tom Udall (D) - 56%, Congressman Steve Pearce (R) - 41%.
OREGON (Portland Tribune): US Senator Gordon Smith (R) - 42%, State House Speaker Jeff Merkley (D) - 39%, salesman Dave Bronlow (Const) - 4%.

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301.

GOVERNOR. Here are the latest independent polls for US House races.
NEW HAMPSHIRE (ARG): Governor John Lynch (D) - 62%, State Senator Joe Kenney (R) - 31%.

CONGRESS. Here are the latest independent polls for US House races.
ALASKA (Research 2000): Former State House Minority Leader Ethan Berkowitz (D) - 53%, Congressman Don Young (R) - 39%
.
Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 09.19.08 | Permalink |

THURSDAY NEWS UPDATE.

WALL STREET SINKS FURTHER WITH AIG BAILOUT; 13 PREZ POLLS; PLUS SIX SENATE/HOUSE POLLS.

ECONOMY. Wall Street crash continued on Wednesday, the day after American taxpayers awoke to find themselves the new co-owners of international insurance giant AIG. The Federal Reserve purchased a controlling interest in AIG for $85 billion of tax dollars. Instead of reassuring international markets, it spurred more panic selling. Investment pros saw the AIG bailout as a sign that thing as so bad the Fed had to step in quickly because much more bad economic news is soon to break. They see the Lehman and AIG collapses as the tip of the iceberg. Short-term federal T-bill rates also dropped to the lowest since the 1950s. All of this is forcing the McCain and Obama campaigns to largely focus solely on the economic issues.

P2008 - DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the latest independent state polls on the Presidential race:
CALIFORNIA (Field): Obama - 52%, McCain - 36%.
FLORIDA (CNN/Time): McCain - 48%, Obama - 48%.
INDIANA (CNN/Time): McCain - 51%, Obama - 45%.
NEW MEXICO (SurveyUSA): Obama - 52%, McCain - 44%, Others - 2%.
NEW YORK (Rasmussen): Obama - 55%, McCain - 42%.
NORTH CAROLINA (CNN/Time): McCain - 48%, Obama - 47%.
OHIO (CNN/Time): Obama - 49%, McCain - 47%.
OREGON (Rasmussen): Obama - 51%, McCain - 47%.
RHODE ISLAND (Rasmussen): Obama - 58%, McCain - 39%.
VIRGINIA (Christopher Newport Univ.): McCain - 48%, Obama - 39%.

VIRGINIA (PPP-D): Obama - 48%, McCain - 46%.

WISCONSIN (CNN/Time): Obama - 50%, McCain - 47%.
WISCONSIN (Rasmussen): Obama - 48%, McCain - 46%.

US SENATE. The latest independent polls for the US Senate match-ups:
MINNESOTA (Minneapolis Star-Tribune): US Senator Norm Coleman (R) - 41%, humorist Al Franken (D) - 37%, former US Senator Dean Barkley (IP) - 13%.
NEW JERSEY (Quinnipiac Univ.): US Senator Frank Lautenberg (D) - 48%, former Congressman Dick Zimmer (R) - 39%, Others - 1%.
OREGON (Rasmussen): US Senator Gordon Smith (R) - 46%, State House Speaker Jeff Merkley (D) - 45%.
VIRGINIA (PPP-D): Former Governor Mark Warner (D) - 57%, former Governor Jim Gilmore (R) - 33%.

VIRGINIA (Christopher Newport Univ.): Former Governor Mark Warner (D) - 54%, former Governor Jim Gilmore (R) - 30%.

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated -- like this 2004 pin from Illinois, pictured above). My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301.

CONGRESS. Here are the latest independent polls for US House races.
PENNSYLVANIA CD-11 (Franklin & Marshall College): Hazleton Mayor Lou Barletta (R) - 44%, Congressman Paul Kanjorski (D) - 35%.

Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 09.18.08 | Permalink |

WEDNESDAY NEWS UPDATE.

FREE SPEECH ZONE.Bush Quayle McCain

Taking a light, relaxing night ... so just an open thread today. But, I'll also mention the return of this feature ...

SEND A PIN = GET A FREE PLUG HERE. Here's my open offer for every campaign (and campaign supporter): send me a button or pin from the Governor, US Senate, Congressional, Statewide Office campaign you are involved in -- feel free to add a sticker and brochure -- and I'll place a link to official campaign site here on our home page blog in a daily "thank you" note. (FYI: Presidential coattails items always appreciated -- like this 1992 gem from Arizona, pictured at right) My address: Ron Gunzburger, 409 NE 17 Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301.
Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 09.17.08 | Permalink |

TUESDAY NEWS UPDATE.

WALL STREET CRASHES, LEHMAN BANKRUPT, AIG & WaMu IN BIG TROUBLE; 527 GROUP SLAMS McCAIN POW RECORD; NEW POLLS.

ECONOMY. Wall Street crashed Monday -- the Dow dropping 500+ points -- for the worst single-day crash since 2001. The crash was spurred by the implosion of financial giant Lehman Brothers, resulting in the largest bankruptcy in US history. Also, Bank of America announced it would buy the ailing Merrill Lynch investment firm ... plus AIG slumped on fears that it can't raise sufficient cash. Washington Mutual is also on shaky ground due to serious housing loan problems, as Standard & Poor's reduced WaMu's debt rating to "junk" status on Monday. Inexplicably, John McCain repeated his standard economy soundbite during a speech on Monday: "The fundamentals of our economy are strong." It prompted a harsh backlash from the Obama campaign. "What economy are you talking about," asked an incredulous Obama. McCain later backed off his statement, claiming he had really been talking about "American workers" as being "the fundamentals" he had referenced.

P2008. A liberal 527 group is running a controversial new TV attack spot against John McCain, which questions his POW service and ability to control his temper. The McCain campaign fired back, calling the spot "vile" and "swift-boating." Why did the spot so get under McCain's skin? The spokesman in the ad is retired Navy Commander Phil Butler, a decorated US pilot shot down over North Vietnam who served eight-years with McCain as a POW in the "Hanoi Hilton." Click here to view the controversial spot.

P2008 - DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the latest independent state polls on the Presidential race:
COLORADO (Fox News/Rasmussen): McCain - 48%, Obama - 46%.
FLORIDA (Fox News/Rasmussen): McCain - 49%, Obama - 44%.
NEW JERSEY (Bergen Record): Obama - 50%, McCain - 41%.
NEW YORK (Siena College): Obama - 46%, McCain - 41%.
OHIO (Survey USA): McCain - 49%, Obama - 45%, Others - 3%.
COLORADO (Fox News/Rasmussen): McCain - 48%, Obama - 45%.
OHIO (Suffolk Univ.): McCain - 46%, Obama - 42%, Barr - 1%, Nader - 1%, McKinney - 1%.
PENNSYLVANIA (Fox News/Rasmussen): McCain - 47%, Obama - 47%.
VIRGINIA (Survey USA): Obama - 50%, McCain - 46%, Others - 2%.
VIRGINIA (Fox News/Rasmussen): McCain - 48%, Obama - 48%.
UTAH (Rasmussen): McCain - 64%, Obama - 32%.

GOVERNOR. The new independent polls for the gubernatorial contests:
MISSOURI (Rasmussen): Attorney General Jay Nixon (D) - 54%, Congressman Kenny Hulshof (R) - 39%.

WASHINGTON (Rasmussen): Former State Senator Dino Rossi (R) - 52%, Governor Christine Gregoire (D) - 46%.

US SENATE. The latest independent polls for the US Senate match-ups:
VIRGINIA (SurveyUSA): Former Governor Mark Warner (D) - 57%, former Governor Jim Gilmore (R) - 34%, businesswoman Gail Parker (Ind Green) - 4%, Libertarian National Chairman Bill Redpath (Libt) - 1%
.
Posted by Ron Gunzburger - 09.16.08 | Permalink |

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